SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
27.04% ( -0.25) | 26.94% ( -0.08) | 46.02% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( 0.16) | 56.78% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( 0.13) | 77.72% ( -0.13) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( -0.12) | 36.56% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( -0.12) | 73.34% ( 0.13) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.24) | 24.64% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.85% ( 0.33) | 59.15% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.04% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.01% |
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