Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
45.04% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() | 30.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.43% (![]() | 43.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.04% (![]() | 65.96% (![]() |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% (![]() | 19.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.6% (![]() | 51.4% (![]() |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% (![]() | 62.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
2-1 @ 9.21% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 11.26% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.75% |
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