Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
