Lokomotiv
3 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Zhemaletdinov (80', 86'), Smolov (88')
Kamano (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tkachev (22')
Sokol (35'), Markov (57')
Sokol (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
53.11%	24.58%	22.31%

Both teams to score 50.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5%

51.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7%

73.3%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87%

51.12%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13%

37.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36%

74.64%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 53.1%

Arsenal Tula 22.31%

Draw 24.58%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.03% 2-0 @ 9.88% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.1%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.31%