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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 2, 2021 at 5pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
LM

Zenit
6 - 1
Lokomotiv

Dzyuba (19', 51'), Azmoun (39', 45+3' pen., 46'), Malcom (67')
Rakitskiy (36'), Kuzyaev (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kamano (56')
Krychowiak (22'), Mukhin (38'), Pablo (45+2'), Miranchuk (61'), Rybchinsky (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
65.08%18.99%15.92%
Both teams to score 57.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62%36.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49%58.51%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.5%10.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.84%34.16%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.66%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 65.08%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 15.93%
    Draw 18.99%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 7.37%
3-0 @ 7.19%
4-1 @ 4.15%
4-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.78%
4-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.87%
5-0 @ 1.83%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 65.08%
1-1 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.99%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-1 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.93%

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