SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
31.58% ( 0.22) | 27.45% ( 0) | 40.97% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( 0.04) | 56.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( 0.03) | 77.72% ( -0.03) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.17) | 33.07% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.19) | 69.66% ( -0.2) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -0.11) | 27.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( -0.14) | 62.66% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.58% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.96% |
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