SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
19.51% ( 0.06) | 22.62% ( -0.04) | 57.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.22) | 46.79% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.21) | 69.05% ( -0.21) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.97% ( 0.19) | 38.03% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( 0.18) | 74.8% ( -0.18) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( 0.07) | 15.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( 0.12) | 45.11% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.51% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 57.86% |
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