SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
56.59% ( 1.41) | 23.48% ( -0.21) | 19.94% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.58) | 49.75% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.52) | 71.76% ( 0.53) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( 0.3) | 17.38% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.2% ( 0.52) | 47.8% ( -0.52) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( -1.57) | 39.28% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( -1.5) | 75.99% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.45)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.58% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.94% |
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