SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Makhachkala would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Orenburg |
39.12% ( 0.08) | 26.98% ( 0.01) | 33.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( -0.04) | 54.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.04) | 75.84% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Makhachkala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.02) | 27.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.03) | 62.58% ( -0.03) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( -0.08) | 30.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( -0.09) | 66.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% |
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