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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 12pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
1 - 1
Makhachkala

Alshin (51')
Ilyin (25'), Markov (49'), Dziov (54'), Kalinin (61'), Brahimi (65'), Alshin (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agalarov (19')
Sundukov (41'), Agalarov (45+3'), Paltsev (54'), Gadzhiev (55'), Glushkov (90+4')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Dynamo Makhachkala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Rubin Kazan
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Makhachkala 0-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.74%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 30.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
FakelDrawDynamo Makhachkala
37.74% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 31.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 30.29% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 36.85% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.97% (0.085999999999999 0.09)71.02% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.12% (0.054 0.05)87.88% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (0.062999999999995 0.06)36.52% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (0.064 0.06)73.3% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Dynamo Makhachkala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04% (0.065000000000005 0.07)41.95% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6% (0.056000000000001 0.06)78.39% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 37.74%
    Dynamo Makhachkala 30.28%
    Draw 31.95%
FakelDrawDynamo Makhachkala
1-0 @ 15.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 37.74%
0-0 @ 15.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-1 @ 13.4%
2-2 @ 2.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.95%
0-1 @ 13.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 30.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Rubin Kazan
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Zenit 3-1 Fakel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, September 14 at 12.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 4-1 Fakel
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-0 Fakel
Sunday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Makhachkala 0-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 0-0 Makhachkala
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Makhachkala 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, September 15 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-1 Makhachkala
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 2-0 Makhachkala
Friday, August 23 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Makhachkala 1-0 Akhmat Grozny
Monday, August 19 at 6pm in Russian Premier League


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