SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
59.75% ( 0.01) | 21.23% ( -0) | 19.01% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( 0.01) | 41.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.01) | 63.75% ( -0.01) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( 0) | 13.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.52% ( 0.01) | 40.47% ( -0.01) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0) | 35.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( -0) | 72.16% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.17% 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 19.01% |
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