SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
51.59% ( 0.09) | 25.92% ( -0.04) | 22.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( 0.1) | 56.33% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( 0.08) | 77.35% ( -0.08) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.08) | 21.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( 0.12) | 55.16% ( -0.11) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.01) | 40.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( 0.01) | 77.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 22.49% |
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