SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
20.26% ( 0.6) | 24.43% ( 0.45) | 55.31% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( -1.01) | 53.12% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( -0.86) | 74.7% ( 0.86) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.12% ( 0.06) | 40.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.55% ( 0.06) | 77.45% ( -0.06) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.78) | 19.11% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.26% ( -1.3) | 50.74% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.9% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.29% |
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