Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sochi win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod has a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it is 0-1 (6.41%).
Result | ||
Sochi | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
57.91% ( 4.9) | 23.49% ( -1.95) | 18.6% ( -2.95) |
Both teams to score 47.94% ( 1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.41% ( 3.91) | 51.59% ( -3.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.62% ( 3.3) | 73.38% ( -3.3) |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% ( 3.4) | 17.58% ( -3.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.87% ( 5.6) | 48.13% ( -5.6) |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% ( -0.95) | 41.84% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( -0.84) | 78.3% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Sochi | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 1) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.74) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.21) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.31) Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.83) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -1.22) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -1.26) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.6% |
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