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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
6 - 1
Nizhny Novgorod

Kravtsov (9'), Guarirapa (32'), Alves (66'), Sutormin (74' pen., 83'), Burmistrov (87')
Kravtsov (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Correia (88')
Aleksandrov (64')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 3-2 Sochi
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod
55.01% (-1.901 -1.9) 25.39% (0.908 0.91) 19.59% (0.992 0.99)
Both teams to score 44.25% (-0.909 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (-2.043 -2.04)57.35% (2.042 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-1.649 -1.65)78.17% (1.648 1.65)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (-1.556 -1.56)20.89% (1.554 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (-2.496 -2.5)53.59% (2.493 2.49)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.82% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)80.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 55%
    Nizhny Novgorod 19.59%
    Draw 25.39%
SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 14.41% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.404 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.338 -0.34)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.695 0.7)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.226 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 3-2 Sochi
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 0-0 Fakel
Monday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-0 Sochi
Thursday, April 25 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 2-2 Ural
Sunday, April 21 at 4.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, April 13 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 2-2 Sochi
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 5-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-3 Lokomotiv
Wednesday, April 24 at 4.15pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, April 21 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 3-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, April 14 at 10am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League


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