SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
54% ( -0.33) | 25.77% ( 0.16) | 20.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.13% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( -0.36) | 57.99% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( -0.29) | 78.68% ( 0.28) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.28) | 21.56% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.44) | 54.65% ( 0.44) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.02) | 43.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( -0.02) | 79.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 14.46% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.23% |
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