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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
2 - 3
Akhmat Grozny

Miranchuk (48' pen.), Krychowiak (77')
Ignatyev (24'), Zhemaletdinov (34'), Eder (70'), (90+4'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ilyin (3'), Timofeev (45+1'), Berisha (58')
Nenakhov (25'), Timofeev (32'), Bystrov (38'), Berisha (59'), Semenov (71'), Ilyin (90'), Ivanov (90+1'), Shvets (90+1')
Bystrov (62'), Shvets (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
51.46%25.56%22.98%
Both teams to score 48.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39%54.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05%75.94%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75%21.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84%54.16%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03%38.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31%75.69%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 51.45%
    Akhmat Grozny 22.98%
    Draw 25.56%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.8%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 22.98%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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