Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.