Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 3-0 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rostov in this match.