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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
Apr 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Olimp-2

Rostov
1 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Poloz (74' pen.)
Poloz (41'), Obukhov (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grigalava (39'), Khlusevich (66'), Panchenko (83')
Burlak (50')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rostov in this match.

Result
RostovDrawArsenal Tula
45.93%26.29%27.79%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1%53.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65%75.35%
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.41%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9%71.1%
Score Analysis
    Rostov 45.93%
    Arsenal Tula 27.79%
    Draw 26.28%
RostovDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.05%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 27.79%

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