Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 40%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.