Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.