SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotor Volgograd | Draw | Rostov |
| 28.51% | 27.77% | 43.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% | 58.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% | 79.47% |
| Rotor Volgograd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% | 36.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.65% | 73.34% |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.91% | 62.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotor Volgograd | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 12.9% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.72% |
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