Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.