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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2020 at 3pm UK
Volgograd Arena

Rotor
1 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Junior (81' pen.)
Stepanov (15'), Kozhemyakin (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tkachev (16'), Rasskazov (58'), Kostadinov (73'), Kadiri (82'), Gorbatenko (88'), Khagush (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rotor Volgograd and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotor VolgogradDrawArsenal Tula
30.05%28.76%41.19%
Both teams to score 44.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.19%61.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.4%81.6%
Rotor Volgograd Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.32%73.67%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Score Analysis
    Rotor Volgograd 30.05%
    Arsenal Tula 41.18%
    Draw 28.76%
Rotor VolgogradDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 13.28%
0-2 @ 8.1%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-3 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.01%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.18%

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