Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tambov win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tambov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Rotor Volgograd win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
