Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.