Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
