SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 22.65% | 23.14% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score 55.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% | 45.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% | 67.48% |
| Arsenal Tula Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% | 33.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% | 70.67% |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% | 16.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.65% | 46.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Tula | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 6.08% 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.65% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-3 @ 5.45% 2-3 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.65% 0-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.2% |
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