Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rubin Kazan in this match.
