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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
Jul 11, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Fisht Olympic Stadium

Sochi
1 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Maslov (24' og.)
Zaika (9'), Mevlja (19'), Poloz (41'), Margasov (63'), Kokorin (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucas (30'), Umyarov (50'), Zobnin (89'), Rasskazov (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochi in this match.

Result
SochiDrawSpartak Moscow
37.4%26.78%35.81%
Both teams to score 51.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97%75.02%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74%63.25%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55%64.45%
Score Analysis
    Sochi 37.4%
    Spartak Moscow 35.81%
    Draw 26.78%
SochiDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.81%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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