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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2020 at 5pm UK
Luzhniki Stadium
ZS

Spartak Moscow
1 - 1
Zenit

Ponce (86')
Sobolev (59'), Yeshchenko (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Erokhin (65')
Santos (37'), Barrios (88'), Lovren (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawZenit St Petersburg
27.77%25.4%46.83%
Both teams to score 52.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63%50.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69%72.3%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46%32.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93%69.07%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49%21.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43%54.57%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 27.77%
    Zenit St Petersburg 46.82%
    Draw 25.39%
Spartak MoscowDrawZenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 7.86%
2-1 @ 6.78%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 27.77%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 4.75%
0-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.82%


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