Zenit
3 - 1
Arsenal Tula

Mostovoy (25'), Dzyuba (31'), Ozdoyev (86')
Barrios (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kavalyow (60')
Burlak (21'), Khlusevich (45+1'), Tkachev (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
69.25%	18.87%	11.88%

Both teams to score 46.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.88%

45.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.54%

67.46%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1%

11.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.78%

37.22%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.7%

47.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.29%

82.71%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 69.24%

Arsenal Tula 11.88%

Draw 18.87%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
2-0 @ 12.75% 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.78% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.24% Total : 69.24%	1-1 @ 8.97% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.87%	0-1 @ 4.21% 1-2 @ 3.36% 0-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.74% Total : 11.88%