Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Torpedo Moskva	Draw	Sochi
22.74% ( -0.06)	26.43% ( -0.05)	50.82% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 45.44% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.09% (

0.13)

57.91% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.1)

78.62% (

-0.1)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94% (

0.01)

41.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39% (

0.01)

77.61% (

-0.02)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.1)

22.9% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

0.15)

56.66% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Torpedo Moskva 22.75%

Sochi 50.82%

Draw 26.42%

Torpedo Moskva	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.75%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 13.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 50.82%