Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
