Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
37.89%	28.9%	33.21%

Both teams to score 44.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.38%

61.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55%

81.45%

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62%

31.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25%

67.75%

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55%

34.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83%

71.16%

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 37.89%

Sochi 33.21%

Draw 28.9%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.89%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.21%