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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2020 at 12pm UK
Arsenal Stadium

Arsenal Tula
1 - 0
Ural

Lomovitski (36')
Lomovitski (29'), Panchenko (39'), Bauer (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Strandberg (15'), Miskic (56'), Kalinin (67'), Emelyanov (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Ural Yekaterinburg.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Tula in this match.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawUral Yekaterinburg
46.72%26.03%27.24%
Both teams to score 50.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75%53.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2%74.8%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53%56.46%
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 46.71%
    Ural Yekaterinburg 27.24%
    Draw 26.04%
Arsenal TulaDrawUral Yekaterinburg
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 9.15%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.24%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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