Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
