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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
DL

Zenit
1 - 2
Dortmund

Driussi (16')
Azmoun (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piszczek (68'), Witsel (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
41.74%22.94%35.32%
Both teams to score 65.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.17%35.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.09%57.91%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25%17.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57%48.43%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33%20.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74%53.26%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 41.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.32%
    Draw 22.94%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.64%
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-1 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.32%

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