Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.