Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.