SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Okhdood |
69.8% ( 0.03) | 17.21% | 12.98% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.56% ( -0.05) | 34.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.64% ( -0.06) | 56.36% ( 0.07) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.14% ( -0) | 8.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.67% ( -0.02) | 30.33% ( 0.03) |
| Al Okhdood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.06) | 38.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0.06) | 75.33% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Okhdood |
| 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.96% 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.21% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 12.98% |
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