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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
3 - 0
Al Okhdood

Al Naji (13'), Ronaldo (77', 80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanase (26'), Tawamba (34'), Al-Harthi (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 1-3 Al-Nassr
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 2-1 Al Hazem
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Okhdood

While Al Okhdood will take some confidence from their win before the break and the new management, a trip to Al-Nassr is a different test entirely. With the quality throughout their squad and the need to close the gap to Al-Hilal, we can only envisage the hosts making it five straight Saudi Pro League wins on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Okhdood
69.8% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 17.21%12.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.56% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)34.44% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.64% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)56.36% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.67% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)30.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)38.59% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.064 -0.06)75.33% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 69.8%
    Al Okhdood 12.98%
    Draw 17.21%
Al-NassrDrawAl Okhdood
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96%
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.21%
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 12.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-3 Al-Nassr
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 1-3 Al-Nassr
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Duhail
Tuesday, October 24 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Damac
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 2-1 Al Hazem
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 3-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 2-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, October 26 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-2 Al Fayha
Friday, October 20 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 0-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 1-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League


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