SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Hazem win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al Riyadh |
38.95% ( 0.61) | 25.2% ( 0.74) | 35.85% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -2.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( -3.57) | 46.64% ( 3.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( -3.44) | 68.9% ( 3.44) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -1.28) | 23.67% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( -1.88) | 57.79% ( 1.88) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( -2.37) | 25.35% ( 2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( -3.37) | 60.15% ( 3.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.95) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.86)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.85% |
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