SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Riyadh |
51.37% ( 0.08) | 23.21% ( 0) | 25.41% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( -0.09) | 42.67% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.09) | 65.07% ( 0.09) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0) | 16.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( -0.01) | 46.55% ( 0.01) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( -0.11) | 30.31% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( -0.13) | 66.49% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.41% |
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