SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 0-3 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
10.13% ( -0.27) | 17.13% ( -0.22) | 72.74% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.13% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.19) | 42.18% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.19) | 64.59% ( -0.19) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.4) | 48.65% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.3% ( -0.29) | 83.7% ( 0.29) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.83% ( 0.17) | 10.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.58% ( 0.39) | 33.42% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.34% Total : 10.13% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 17.13% | 0-2 @ 12.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 9.85% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.63% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-6 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.73% |
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