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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
1 - 0
Al Riyadh

Toko Ekambi (11')
Medran (68'), Abdulrahman (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Shuwayyi (28'), Hellmann (29'), Al Shwirekh (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-0 Al Riyadh
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ettifaq 2-1 Al Riyadh

Both these sides come into this match in underwhelming form and desperately in need of all three points. A loss for the hosts may see them slip out of the top half of the table, while defeat for the visitors could mean that they are sucked into the bottom three. This could end up being a match of fine margins, but we feel the home side will edge in the final result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ettifaq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al Ettifaq.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl Riyadh
57.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 19.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)45.49% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.159 -0.16)67.82% (0.163 0.16)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)15.4% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.79% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)44.21% (0.116 0.12)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.119 -0.12)37.13% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (-0.119 -0.12)73.91% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 57.96%
    Al Riyadh 19.66%
    Draw 22.36%
Al EttifaqDrawAl Riyadh
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.96%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-0 Abha
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, February 26 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-0 Al Riyadh
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 1-1 Al Riyadh
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Hilal
Friday, March 8 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-2 Al Riyadh
Friday, March 1 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Raed
Friday, February 23 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League


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