SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Riyadh |
51.89% ( -1.02) | 22.64% ( 0.36) | 25.47% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.02% ( -1.06) | 39.98% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.66% ( -1.11) | 62.34% ( 1.11) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0.72) | 15.52% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.56% ( -1.35) | 44.44% ( 1.36) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.06) | 28.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -0.08) | 64.69% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 6% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.76% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.4% Total : 25.47% |
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