SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.54%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 4-1 with a probability of 7.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 4-0 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (2.73%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Riyadh |
87.54% ( 0.67) | 7.48% ( -0.26) | 4.99% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 66.07% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 89.75% ( -0.53) | 10.25% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.94) | 22.71% ( 0.95) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.46% ( -0.02) | 1.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 92.04% ( -0.09) | 7.96% ( 0.1) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( -1.97) | 32.9% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -2.25) | 69.47% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 4-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.39)5-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.3)6-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.2)5-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.17)7-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.13)7-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.15)4-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.15)7-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.08)8-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13)8-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 5.94% Total : 87.54% | 2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.14)Other @ 1% Total : 7.48% | 1-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.67% Total : 4.99% |
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