Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Damac
Al Ittihad are limping to the finish line of what has been a very disappointing season and are likely looking forward to the end of the campaign, which will allow them to commence their rebuild for next season.
While their form has been very poor of late, the hosts will be determined to avoid defeat in their final home game of the season, and we feel they will manage one last push to secure a slender victory in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Damac had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Damac |
40.68% ( -0.01) | 24.98% ( -0) | 34.34% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.01) |
| 54.12% ( 0.02) | 45.88% ( -0.01) |
| 31.81% ( 0.01) | 68.19% ( -0.01) |
| 77.53% ( 0) | 22.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.98% ( 0.01) | 56.02% ( -0.01) |
| 74.13% ( 0.01) | 25.87% ( -0.01) |
