Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Damac had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
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