Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Damac.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Damac had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.