Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 75.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Raed |
75.44% ( -0.19) | 14.9% ( 0.1) | 9.66% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.42% ( -0.25) | 32.58% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.76% ( -0.29) | 54.24% ( 0.29) |
Al Ittihad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.78% ( -0.09) | 7.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.81% ( -0.25) | 26.19% ( 0.24) |
Al Raed Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.03% ( -0.02) | 42.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.73% ( -0.02) | 79.27% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Raed |
2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 75.44% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.9% | 1-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.66% |
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