SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
51.4% ( 0.14) | 24.33% ( -0.02) | 24.27% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -0.05) | 48.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -0.05) | 70.7% ( 0.05) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( 0.04) | 18.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.62% ( 0.06) | 50.38% ( -0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.14) | 34.45% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( -0.15) | 71.16% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.27% |
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