SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
32.66% ( -1.79) | 25.01% ( -0.2) | 42.33% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.46) | 46.45% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.43) | 68.73% ( -0.42) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.87) | 27.17% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( -1.15) | 62.57% ( 1.15) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 1.17) | 21.93% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( 1.74) | 55.2% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.33% |
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