Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Raith Rovers
43.78% ( -0.08)	24.51% ( 0.17)	31.7% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.83)

44.53% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.1% (

-0.81)

66.9% (

0.81)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.38)

20.45% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

-0.6)

52.91% (

0.6)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-0.47)

26.83% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

-0.61)

62.13% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 43.78%

Raith Rovers 31.7%

Draw 24.5%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.7%